Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash. Tuned by @satoshi_sensei for TAO on the 15m chart.
| Metric | 24H | 7D | 30D | Season | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | +0.2% | +2.2% | +17.8% | +16.5% | +17.8% |
| Max drawdown | −1.6% | −4.1% | −4.3% | −4.3% | −4.3% |
| Trades | 6 | 34 | 118 | 88 | 118 |
| Win rate | 80% | 64% | 68% | 72% | 68% |
| Sharpe | 2.96 | 3.44 | 7.25 | 9.05 | 7.25 |
Since 7 Sept: bot +17.8%, holding TAO +42.3%. In the market 18% of the time, average hold 4 candles.
Impulse is below 23 and (Orders is above 51 or Whales is above 60).
impulse < 23 && (orders > 51 || whales > 60)Impulse is above 54, or a risk limit is hit.
impulse > 54Signals in its toolkit: Impulse, Orders, Volatility.
Open It holds TAO right now: bought 2 Oct at $339.62 when the score was 20FEAR, +0.1% so far.
| Entry | Score in | Price in | Exit | Price out | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct, 09:30 | 20FEAR | $339.62 | – | $340.50 | Still open | +0.1% |
| 2 Oct, 04:45 | 18XFEAR | $354.50 | 2 Oct, 06:00 | $343.85 | Stop-loss | −3.2% |
| 2 Oct, 02:15 | 54NEUT | $363.59 | 2 Oct, 03:00 | $366.03 | Exit rule | +0.5% |
| 1 Oct, 21:00 | 51NEUT | $350.56 | 1 Oct, 21:30 | $352.73 | Exit rule | +0.4% |
| 1 Oct, 13:45 | 28FEAR | $331.04 | 1 Oct, 14:30 | $335.71 | Exit rule | +1.2% |
| 1 Oct, 11:15 | 39FEAR | $335.33 | 1 Oct, 12:00 | $340.95 | Exit rule | +1.5% |
| 1 Oct, 07:30 | 17XFEAR | $319.57 | 1 Oct, 08:15 | $321.57 | Exit rule | +0.4% |
| 1 Oct, 01:45 | 44NEUT | $324.73 | 1 Oct, 03:15 | $324.53 | Exit rule | −0.3% |
| 30 Sept, 22:30 | 14XFEAR | $316.77 | 30 Sept, 23:15 | $320.85 | Exit rule | +1.1% |
| 30 Sept, 20:45 | 16XFEAR | $316.11 | 30 Sept, 21:00 | $322.22 | Exit rule | +1.7% |
| 30 Sept, 19:00 | 29FEAR | $322.46 | 30 Sept, 19:30 | $323.22 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 30 Sept, 15:45 | 37FEAR | $324.40 | 30 Sept, 16:30 | $330.95 | Exit rule | +1.8% |
| 30 Sept, 06:30 | 14XFEAR | $288.90 | 30 Sept, 07:00 | $295.23 | Exit rule | +2.0% |
| 30 Sept, 02:30 | 19XFEAR | $298.34 | 30 Sept, 04:00 | $289.13 | Stop-loss | −3.3% |
| 29 Sept, 19:00 | 24FEAR | $313.35 | 29 Sept, 20:00 | $319.16 | Exit rule | +1.7% |
| 29 Sept, 15:15 | 33FEAR | $319.27 | 29 Sept, 16:15 | $308.46 | Stop-loss | −3.6% |
| 29 Sept, 10:00 | 27FEAR | $304.99 | 29 Sept, 11:00 | $306.36 | Exit rule | +0.2% |
| 29 Sept, 07:00 | 25FEAR | $304.83 | 29 Sept, 07:45 | $307.49 | Exit rule | +0.7% |
| 29 Sept, 01:15 | 14XFEAR | $300.32 | 29 Sept, 02:00 | $299.96 | Exit rule | −0.3% |
| 28 Sept, 22:15 | 23FEAR | $309.06 | 28 Sept, 23:15 | $310.12 | Exit rule | +0.1% |
| 28 Sept, 19:15 | 21FEAR | $314.08 | 28 Sept, 20:45 | $312.32 | Exit rule | −0.8% |
| 28 Sept, 11:30 | 19XFEAR | $318.63 | 28 Sept, 13:30 | $315.20 | Exit rule | −1.3% |
| 27 Sept, 23:30 | 12XFEAR | $308.24 | 28 Sept, 02:00 | $306.12 | Exit rule | −0.9% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 | 6XFEAR | $310.81 | 27 Sept, 22:00 | $312.53 | Exit rule | +0.4% |
| 27 Sept, 12:00 | 18XFEAR | $322.33 | 27 Sept, 12:30 | $325.94 | Exit rule | +0.9% |
| 27 Sept, 06:45 | 53NEUT | $327.44 | 27 Sept, 07:45 | $330.38 | Exit rule | +0.7% |
| 27 Sept, 00:45 | 38FEAR | $289.08 | 27 Sept, 01:30 | $296.79 | Exit rule | +2.5% |
| 26 Sept, 14:30 | 21FEAR | $279.08 | 26 Sept, 16:30 | $275.68 | Exit rule | −1.4% |
| 26 Sept, 09:15 | 15XFEAR | $286.21 | 26 Sept, 11:15 | $285.88 | Exit rule | −0.3% |
| 26 Sept, 04:15 | 37FEAR | $290.18 | 26 Sept, 05:00 | $301.48 | Exit rule | +3.7% |
Latest 30 of 118 trades.
Catch the bounce as panic fades.
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash.
Instead of buying the knife, it waits for the score to climb back out of Extreme Fear with volume confirming the turn.
Hunts violent sell-offs where impulse collapses but the order book quietly absorbs.