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Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash. Tuned by @greedgoblin for TRX on the 15m chart.
| Metric | 24H | 7D | 30D | Season | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | −0.7% | −2.7% | −0.9% | −1.5% | −0.9% |
| Max drawdown | −0.7% | −2.8% | −2.8% | −2.8% | −2.8% |
| Trades | 2 | 17 | 58 | 41 | 58 |
| Win rate | 0% | 41% | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Sharpe | -35.47 | -14.64 | -1.44 | -2.95 | -1.44 |
Since 6 Sept: bot −0.9%, holding TRX −19.5%. In the market 10% of the time, average hold 4 candles.
@greedgoblin keeps this strategy hidden. Its full record stays public, drawdowns included. You can copy it and it runs exactly as the creator built it, but you can't see or fork the rules.
| Entry | Score in | Price in | Exit | Price out | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct, 14:15 | 4XFEAR | $0.3492 | 1 Oct, 16:00 | $0.3460 | Exit rule | −1.1% |
| 1 Oct, 08:15 | 21FEAR | $0.3597 | 1 Oct, 10:00 | $0.3566 | Exit rule | −1.1% |
| 30 Sept, 21:45 | 11XFEAR | $0.3606 | 30 Sept, 22:30 | $0.3620 | Exit rule | +0.2% |
| 30 Sept, 16:00 | 2XFEAR | $0.3602 | 30 Sept, 17:30 | $0.3579 | Exit rule | −0.8% |
| 30 Sept, 05:15 | 7XFEAR | $0.3590 | 30 Sept, 06:00 | $0.3643 | Exit rule | +1.3% |
| 29 Sept, 14:30 | 27FEAR | $0.3676 | 29 Sept, 15:00 | $0.3699 | Exit rule | +0.4% |
| 29 Sept, 07:30 | 22FEAR | $0.3651 | 29 Sept, 08:15 | $0.3656 | Exit rule | −0.1% |
| 29 Sept, 03:15 | 33FEAR | $0.3656 | 29 Sept, 04:30 | $0.3652 | Exit rule | −0.3% |
| 28 Sept, 21:45 | 30FEAR | $0.3627 | 28 Sept, 22:45 | $0.3632 | Exit rule | −0.1% |
| 28 Sept, 05:30 | 17XFEAR | $0.3497 | 28 Sept, 06:15 | $0.3510 | Exit rule | +0.2% |
| 27 Sept, 23:30 | 1XFEAR | $0.3478 | 28 Sept, 00:00 | $0.3489 | Exit rule | +0.1% |
| 27 Sept, 07:00 | 20FEAR | $0.3583 | 27 Sept, 08:15 | $0.3568 | Exit rule | −0.6% |
| 26 Sept, 16:30 | 3XFEAR | $0.3577 | 26 Sept, 17:15 | $0.3588 | Exit rule | +0.1% |
| 26 Sept, 12:15 | 17XFEAR | $0.3647 | 26 Sept, 13:00 | $0.3654 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 26 Sept, 05:15 | 8XFEAR | $0.3684 | 26 Sept, 09:15 | $0.3573 | Stop-loss | −3.2% |
| 25 Sept, 18:30 | 11XFEAR | $0.3899 | 25 Sept, 19:00 | $0.3910 | Exit rule | +0.1% |
| 25 Sept, 14:00 | 28FEAR | $0.3977 | 25 Sept, 16:15 | $0.3966 | Exit rule | −0.5% |
| 25 Sept, 07:45 | 24FEAR | $0.3980 | 25 Sept, 08:30 | $0.3986 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 24 Sept, 15:30 | 19XFEAR | $0.3932 | 24 Sept, 16:15 | $0.3937 | Exit rule | −0.1% |
| 24 Sept, 11:00 | 12XFEAR | $0.3899 | 24 Sept, 11:30 | $0.3946 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
| 24 Sept, 08:45 | 4XFEAR | $0.3912 | 24 Sept, 09:30 | $0.3920 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 24 Sept, 04:45 | 15XFEAR | $0.3978 | 24 Sept, 05:30 | $0.4002 | Exit rule | +0.4% |
| 24 Sept, 00:15 | 9XFEAR | $0.3964 | 24 Sept, 01:00 | $0.4019 | Exit rule | +1.2% |
| 23 Sept, 19:45 | 17XFEAR | $0.3993 | 23 Sept, 20:15 | $0.4046 | Exit rule | +1.1% |
| 23 Sept, 13:30 | 26FEAR | $0.4023 | 23 Sept, 14:15 | $0.4025 | Exit rule | −0.2% |
| 23 Sept, 10:45 | 38FEAR | $0.4049 | 23 Sept, 11:45 | $0.4055 | Exit rule | −0.1% |
| 22 Sept, 15:30 | 28FEAR | $0.3810 | 22 Sept, 16:30 | $0.3819 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 22 Sept, 11:30 | 50NEUT | $0.3831 | 22 Sept, 12:15 | $0.3848 | Exit rule | +0.2% |
| 21 Sept, 21:45 | 15XFEAR | $0.3802 | 22 Sept, 00:00 | $0.3762 | Exit rule | −1.2% |
| 21 Sept, 18:30 | 16XFEAR | $0.3783 | 21 Sept, 19:15 | $0.3830 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
Latest 30 of 58 trades.
Catch the bounce as panic fades.
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash.
Instead of buying the knife, it waits for the score to climb back out of Extreme Fear with volume confirming the turn.
Hunts violent sell-offs where impulse collapses but the order book quietly absorbs.