1) Loading
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash. Tuned by @contrarian_cat for TIA on the 1h chart.
| Metric | 24H | 7D | 30D | Season | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | 0.0% | +1.4% | +19.6% | +13.8% | +17.9% |
| Max drawdown | 0.0% | −2.1% | −2.5% | −2.1% | −4.0% |
| Trades | 0 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 28 |
| Win rate | – | 75% | 80% | 81% | 79% |
| Sharpe | 0.00 | 3.30 | 8.66 | 8.35 | 6.57 |
Since 30 Aug: bot +17.9%, holding TIA −63.8%. In the market 12% of the time, average hold 3 candles.
Impulse is below 17 and (Orders is above 61 or Whales is above 56).
impulse < 17 && (orders > 61 || whales > 56)Impulse is above 60, or a risk limit is hit.
impulse > 60Signals in its toolkit: Impulse, Orders, Volatility.
| Entry | Score in | Price in | Exit | Price out | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sept, 22:00 | 14XFEAR | $1.49 | 30 Sept, 01:00 | $1.51 | Exit rule | +1.5% |
| 28 Sept, 15:00 | 38FEAR | $1.66 | 28 Sept, 17:00 | $1.59 | Stop-loss | −4.2% |
| 26 Sept, 19:00 | 10XFEAR | $1.37 | 26 Sept, 21:00 | $1.43 | Exit rule | +4.1% |
| 26 Sept, 00:00 | 5XFEAR | $1.38 | 26 Sept, 07:00 | $1.41 | Exit rule | +1.4% |
| 23 Sept, 06:00 | 17XFEAR | $1.42 | 23 Sept, 08:00 | $1.50 | Exit rule | +5.5% |
| 22 Sept, 20:00 | 12XFEAR | $1.45 | 23 Sept, 01:00 | $1.46 | Exit rule | +0.8% |
| 22 Sept, 10:00 | 13XFEAR | $1.46 | 22 Sept, 15:00 | $1.46 | Exit rule | −0.3% |
| 21 Sept, 14:00 | 5XFEAR | $1.46 | 21 Sept, 23:00 | $1.48 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
| 20 Sept, 19:00 | 6XFEAR | $1.67 | 21 Sept, 00:00 | $1.68 | Exit rule | +0.3% |
| 20 Sept, 09:00 | 9XFEAR | $1.75 | 20 Sept, 12:00 | $1.77 | Exit rule | +1.1% |
| 19 Sept, 13:00 | 6XFEAR | $1.83 | 19 Sept, 15:00 | $1.92 | Exit rule | +4.5% |
| 18 Sept, 21:00 | 9XFEAR | $1.95 | 18 Sept, 22:00 | $2.02 | Exit rule | +3.9% |
| 18 Sept, 14:00 | 2XFEAR | $2.02 | 18 Sept, 16:00 | $2.07 | Exit rule | +2.2% |
| 17 Sept, 07:00 | 34FEAR | $2.23 | 17 Sept, 10:00 | $2.31 | Exit rule | +3.5% |
| 16 Sept, 23:00 | 21FEAR | $2.09 | 17 Sept, 00:00 | $2.19 | Exit rule | +4.9% |
| 14 Sept, 01:00 | 32FEAR | $2.03 | 14 Sept, 07:00 | $1.96 | Stop-loss | −3.9% |
| 11 Sept, 14:00 | 20FEAR | $2.02 | 11 Sept, 18:00 | $2.07 | Exit rule | +2.6% |
| 10 Sept, 06:00 | 18XFEAR | $2.21 | 10 Sept, 09:00 | $2.13 | Stop-loss | −3.7% |
| 8 Sept, 16:00 | 22FEAR | $2.16 | 8 Sept, 23:00 | $2.22 | Exit rule | +2.2% |
| 8 Sept, 06:00 | 10XFEAR | $2.10 | 8 Sept, 08:00 | $2.12 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
| 6 Sept, 18:00 | 10XFEAR | $2.30 | 6 Sept, 21:00 | $2.45 | Take-profit | +6.4% |
| 5 Sept, 04:00 | 1XFEAR | $2.29 | 5 Sept, 07:00 | $2.31 | Exit rule | +0.7% |
| 4 Sept, 02:00 | 1XFEAR | $2.84 | 4 Sept, 05:00 | $2.90 | Exit rule | +1.9% |
| 3 Sept, 03:00 | 6XFEAR | $3.26 | 3 Sept, 06:00 | $3.35 | Exit rule | +2.8% |
| 2 Sept, 09:00 | 20FEAR | $3.83 | 2 Sept, 10:00 | $3.69 | Stop-loss | −4.0% |
| 1 Sept, 22:00 | 22FEAR | $3.95 | 2 Sept, 01:00 | $4.02 | Exit rule | +1.6% |
| 1 Sept, 11:00 | 28FEAR | $4.41 | 1 Sept, 16:00 | $4.19 | Stop-loss | −5.0% |
| 31 Aug, 07:00 | 23FEAR | $4.44 | 31 Aug, 09:00 | $4.49 | Exit rule | +0.8% |
Catch the bounce as panic fades.
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash.
Instead of buying the knife, it waits for the score to climb back out of Extreme Fear with volume confirming the turn.
Hunts violent sell-offs where impulse collapses but the order book quietly absorbs.