Catch the bounce as panic fades. Tuned by @capitulation_kai for ETH on the 15m chart.
| Metric | 24H | 7D | 30D | Season | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | −4.8% | −13.1% | −27.6% | −27.6% | −27.6% |
| Max drawdown | −5.3% | −13.2% | −27.9% | −27.9% | −27.9% |
| Trades | 6 | 33 | 78 | 78 | 78 |
| Win rate | 20% | 38% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Sharpe | -32.68 | -18.09 | -17.59 | -17.59 | -17.59 |
Since 15 Sept: bot −27.6%, holding ETH −24.8%. In the market 23% of the time, average hold 5 candles.
CFGI Score crosses above 30 and Volume is above 45.
score crosses_above 30 && volume > 45CFGI Score is above 64 or Impulse is below 23, or a risk limit is hit.
score > 64 || impulse < 23Signals in its toolkit: CFGI Score, Volume, Impulse.
Open It holds ETH right now: bought 2 Oct at $4,348.23 when the score was 35FEAR, −0.1% so far.
| Entry | Score in | Price in | Exit | Price out | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct, 09:30 | 35FEAR | $4,348.23 | – | $4,352.80 | Still open | −0.1% |
| 2 Oct, 07:00 | 44NEUT | $4,417.11 | 2 Oct, 08:45 | $4,341.54 | Exit rule | −1.9% |
| 2 Oct, 03:00 | 41NEUT | $4,413.56 | 2 Oct, 06:15 | $4,404.09 | Exit rule | −0.4% |
| 1 Oct, 23:00 | 34FEAR | $4,472.40 | 2 Oct, 01:00 | $4,437.43 | Exit rule | −1.0% |
| 1 Oct, 13:15 | 40NEUT | $4,850.75 | 1 Oct, 13:30 | $4,796.01 | Exit rule | −1.3% |
| 1 Oct, 09:15 | 33FEAR | $4,825.06 | 1 Oct, 11:00 | $4,843.32 | Exit rule | +0.2% |
| 1 Oct, 07:00 | 52NEUT | $4,883.46 | 1 Oct, 08:30 | $4,828.29 | Exit rule | −1.3% |
| 1 Oct, 04:45 | 35FEAR | $4,892.96 | 1 Oct, 05:00 | $4,867.55 | Exit rule | −0.7% |
| 30 Sept, 22:00 | 42NEUT | $4,813.67 | 30 Sept, 22:30 | $4,869.53 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
| 30 Sept, 20:15 | 33FEAR | $4,858.09 | 30 Sept, 20:45 | $4,816.74 | Exit rule | −1.0% |
| 30 Sept, 15:45 | 46NEUT | $4,964.98 | 30 Sept, 17:00 | $5,003.91 | Exit rule | +0.6% |
| 30 Sept, 14:45 | 52NEUT | $5,018.23 | 30 Sept, 15:00 | $4,965.54 | Exit rule | −1.2% |
| 30 Sept, 06:45 | 64GREED | $4,780.09 | 30 Sept, 07:00 | $4,800.41 | Exit rule | +0.2% |
| 30 Sept, 02:45 | 32FEAR | $4,789.05 | 30 Sept, 04:45 | $4,747.74 | Exit rule | −1.1% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 | 50NEUT | $4,870.16 | 29 Sept, 23:45 | $4,822.74 | Exit rule | −1.2% |
| 29 Sept, 01:45 | 34FEAR | $4,790.18 | 29 Sept, 05:45 | $4,845.74 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
| 28 Sept, 21:45 | 31FEAR | $4,823.87 | 28 Sept, 23:15 | $4,876.08 | Exit rule | +0.9% |
| 28 Sept, 15:15 | 43NEUT | $4,808.39 | 28 Sept, 15:30 | $4,862.01 | Exit rule | +0.9% |
| 28 Sept, 13:00 | 52NEUT | $4,839.30 | 28 Sept, 13:45 | $4,805.02 | Exit rule | −0.9% |
| 28 Sept, 11:30 | 53NEUT | $4,914.15 | 28 Sept, 11:45 | $4,922.66 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 28 Sept, 02:45 | 35FEAR | $4,677.73 | 28 Sept, 03:30 | $4,745.34 | Exit rule | +1.2% |
| 28 Sept, 01:30 | 49NEUT | $4,769.78 | 28 Sept, 02:00 | $4,664.68 | Exit rule | −2.4% |
| 28 Sept, 00:00 | 35FEAR | $4,782.94 | 28 Sept, 00:45 | $4,720.20 | Exit rule | −1.5% |
| 27 Sept, 21:30 | 45NEUT | $4,852.54 | 27 Sept, 22:30 | $4,805.37 | Exit rule | −1.2% |
| 27 Sept, 17:45 | 47NEUT | $4,968.56 | 27 Sept, 19:15 | $5,022.94 | Exit rule | +0.9% |
| 27 Sept, 16:00 | 50NEUT | $5,036.94 | 27 Sept, 16:45 | $4,969.21 | Exit rule | −1.5% |
| 27 Sept, 04:30 | 52NEUT | $4,981.97 | 27 Sept, 05:45 | $5,040.98 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
| 26 Sept, 15:00 | 64GREED | $4,760.21 | 26 Sept, 15:45 | $4,776.74 | Exit rule | +0.1% |
| 26 Sept, 10:30 | 38FEAR | $4,737.55 | 26 Sept, 12:00 | $4,729.67 | Exit rule | −0.4% |
| 26 Sept, 02:00 | 35FEAR | $4,613.33 | 26 Sept, 02:30 | $4,658.77 | Exit rule | +0.8% |
Latest 30 of 78 trades.
Catch the bounce as panic fades.
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash.
Instead of buying the knife, it waits for the score to climb back out of Extreme Fear with volume confirming the turn.
Hunts violent sell-offs where impulse collapses but the order book quietly absorbs.