Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash. Tuned by @contrarian_cat for SOL on the 1h chart.
| Metric | 24H | 7D | 30D | Season | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | +0.5% | +0.1% | −1.7% | −2.3% | +6.6% |
| Max drawdown | −0.1% | −3.5% | −7.2% | −6.0% | −7.2% |
| Trades | 1 | 7 | 26 | 16 | 40 |
| Win rate | 0% | 50% | 64% | 53% | 69% |
| Sharpe | 17.57 | 0.39 | -0.76 | -1.71 | 2.02 |
Since 31 Jul: bot +6.6%, holding SOL +9.3%. In the market 9% of the time, average hold 3 candles.
@contrarian_cat keeps this strategy hidden. Its full record stays public, drawdowns included. You can copy it and it runs exactly as the creator built it, but you can't see or fork the rules.
Open It holds SOL right now: bought 2 Oct at $210.32 when the score was 9XFEAR, +0.9% so far.
| Entry | Score in | Price in | Exit | Price out | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct, 09:00 | 9XFEAR | $210.32 | – | $212.60 | Still open | +0.9% |
| 29 Sept, 22:00 | 5XFEAR | $213.53 | 30 Sept, 03:00 | $211.67 | Exit rule | −1.1% |
| 29 Sept, 12:00 | 23FEAR | $235.48 | 29 Sept, 13:00 | $225.12 | Stop-loss | −4.6% |
| 28 Sept, 19:00 | 4XFEAR | $230.71 | 28 Sept, 23:00 | $230.46 | Exit rule | −0.3% |
| 28 Sept, 07:00 | 10XFEAR | $243.98 | 28 Sept, 10:00 | $244.50 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 26 Sept, 05:00 | 12XFEAR | $243.36 | 26 Sept, 08:00 | $247.43 | Exit rule | +1.5% |
| 25 Sept, 12:00 | 16XFEAR | $244.95 | 25 Sept, 14:00 | $254.95 | Exit rule | +3.9% |
| 25 Sept, 02:00 | 40NEUT | $255.29 | 25 Sept, 05:00 | $260.48 | Exit rule | +1.8% |
| 21 Sept, 22:00 | 9XFEAR | $209.56 | 22 Sept, 00:00 | $214.15 | Exit rule | +2.0% |
| 20 Sept, 22:00 | 5XFEAR | $215.66 | 21 Sept, 01:00 | $218.87 | Exit rule | +1.3% |
| 19 Sept, 15:00 | 8XFEAR | $222.52 | 19 Sept, 19:00 | $217.70 | Exit rule | −2.4% |
| 18 Sept, 14:00 | 1XFEAR | $242.46 | 18 Sept, 19:00 | $233.81 | Stop-loss | −3.8% |
| 17 Sept, 13:00 | 12XFEAR | $274.98 | 17 Sept, 21:00 | $270.23 | Exit rule | −1.9% |
| 16 Sept, 12:00 | 9XFEAR | $284.47 | 16 Sept, 15:00 | $290.24 | Exit rule | +1.8% |
| 16 Sept, 00:00 | 27FEAR | $310.33 | 16 Sept, 03:00 | $294.42 | Stop-loss | −5.3% |
| 14 Sept, 11:00 | 35FEAR | $297.04 | 14 Sept, 13:00 | $302.66 | Exit rule | +1.7% |
| 13 Sept, 09:00 | 8XFEAR | $283.49 | 13 Sept, 15:00 | $275.62 | Exit rule | −3.0% |
| 10 Sept, 04:00 | 4XFEAR | $295.48 | 10 Sept, 10:00 | $296.81 | Exit rule | +0.2% |
| 9 Sept, 19:00 | 16XFEAR | $308.19 | 9 Sept, 21:00 | $312.72 | Exit rule | +1.3% |
| 8 Sept, 15:00 | 8XFEAR | $322.50 | 8 Sept, 22:00 | $325.45 | Exit rule | +0.7% |
| 7 Sept, 13:00 | 37FEAR | $352.67 | 7 Sept, 15:00 | $341.48 | Stop-loss | −3.4% |
| 7 Sept, 02:00 | 27FEAR | $332.21 | 7 Sept, 03:00 | $335.93 | Exit rule | +0.9% |
| 6 Sept, 13:00 | 16XFEAR | $328.55 | 6 Sept, 17:00 | $332.70 | Exit rule | +1.1% |
| 5 Sept, 13:00 | 16XFEAR | $323.33 | 5 Sept, 18:00 | $325.21 | Exit rule | +0.4% |
| 4 Sept, 04:00 | 8XFEAR | $345.02 | 4 Sept, 06:00 | $353.02 | Exit rule | +2.1% |
| 3 Sept, 08:00 | 30FEAR | $382.15 | 3 Sept, 11:00 | $386.82 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
| 31 Aug, 13:00 | 12XFEAR | $348.08 | 31 Aug, 15:00 | $356.92 | Exit rule | +2.3% |
| 28 Aug, 16:00 | 36FEAR | $351.57 | 28 Aug, 22:00 | $352.44 | Exit rule | 0.0% |
| 27 Aug, 18:00 | 29FEAR | $340.78 | 27 Aug, 21:00 | $325.52 | Stop-loss | −4.7% |
| 27 Aug, 02:00 | 9XFEAR | $322.19 | 27 Aug, 04:00 | $331.45 | Exit rule | +2.7% |
Latest 30 of 40 trades.
Catch the bounce as panic fades.
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash.
Instead of buying the knife, it waits for the score to climb back out of Extreme Fear with volume confirming the turn.
Hunts violent sell-offs where impulse collapses but the order book quietly absorbs.