Buy extreme fear. Sell extreme greed. Tuned by @contrarian_cat for ADA on the 1h chart.
| Metric | 24H | 7D | 30D | Season | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | −1.3% | −0.3% | −19.4% | +3.7% | −19.4% |
| Max drawdown | −1.7% | −8.9% | −29.0% | −10.4% | −29.0% |
| Trades | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Win rate | 0% | 50% | 56% | 63% | 56% |
| Sharpe | -22.23 | 0.11 | -3.63 | 1.31 | -3.63 |
Since 11 Sept: bot −19.4%, holding ADA −4.3%. In the market 48% of the time, average hold 25 candles.
@contrarian_cat keeps this strategy hidden. Its full record stays public, drawdowns included. You can copy it and it runs exactly as the creator built it, but you can't see or fork the rules.
Open It holds ADA right now: bought 2 Oct at $0.8315 when the score was 27FEAR, −1.4% so far.
| Entry | Score in | Price in | Exit | Price out | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct, 01:00 | 27FEAR | $0.8315 | – | $0.8214 | Still open | −1.4% |
| 29 Sept, 06:00 | 19XFEAR | $0.7662 | 30 Sept, 01:00 | $0.7940 | Exit rule | +3.4% |
| 28 Sept, 10:00 | 25FEAR | $0.8208 | 29 Sept, 03:00 | $0.8038 | Exit rule | −2.3% |
| 23 Sept, 10:00 | 24FEAR | $0.6482 | 24 Sept, 12:00 | $0.6547 | Exit rule | +0.8% |
| 22 Sept, 20:00 | 8XFEAR | $0.6496 | 23 Sept, 07:00 | $0.6669 | Exit rule | +2.5% |
| 19 Sept, 20:00 | 25FEAR | $0.6986 | 22 Sept, 12:00 | $0.6931 | Exit rule | −1.0% |
| 19 Sept, 04:00 | 24FEAR | $0.6908 | 19 Sept, 06:00 | $0.7194 | Exit rule | +3.9% |
| 17 Sept, 08:00 | 26FEAR | $0.7237 | 18 Sept, 09:00 | $0.6933 | Exit rule | −4.4% |
| 16 Sept, 16:00 | 23FEAR | $0.7233 | 17 Sept, 01:00 | $0.7413 | Exit rule | +2.3% |
| 11 Sept, 03:00 | 24FEAR | $0.8507 | 13 Sept, 18:00 | $0.6626 | Exit rule | −22.3% |
Catch the bounce as panic fades.
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash.
Instead of buying the knife, it waits for the score to climb back out of Extreme Fear with volume confirming the turn.
Hunts violent sell-offs where impulse collapses but the order book quietly absorbs.