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Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash. Tuned by @fearfarmer for BTC on the 4h chart.
| Metric | 24H | 7D | 30D | Season | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | +0.6% | +0.6% | −0.6% | +0.5% | −1.9% |
| Max drawdown | −0.1% | −0.1% | −4.1% | −2.8% | −7.2% |
| Trades | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 17 |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 67% | 75% | 59% |
| Sharpe | 23.64 | 7.46 | -0.70 | 0.92 | -0.57 |
Since 24 Jun: bot −1.9%, holding BTC +4.1%. In the market 10% of the time, average hold 4 candles.
@fearfarmer keeps this strategy hidden. Its full record stays public, drawdowns included. You can copy it and it runs exactly as the creator built it, but you can't see or fork the rules.
| Entry | Score in | Price in | Exit | Price out | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct, 20:00 | 16XFEAR | $116,722.30 | 2 Oct, 08:00 | $118,420 | Exit rule | +1.3% |
| 23 Sept, 04:00 | 4XFEAR | $108,176.15 | 23 Sept, 16:00 | $109,887.79 | Exit rule | +1.4% |
| 21 Sept, 20:00 | 2XFEAR | $117,191.30 | 22 Sept, 04:00 | $119,708.97 | Exit rule | +1.9% |
| 19 Sept, 00:00 | 32FEAR | $138,231.22 | 19 Sept, 16:00 | $133,587.19 | Stop-loss | −3.6% |
| 10 Sept, 08:00 | 30FEAR | $141,039.69 | 11 Sept, 00:00 | $136,181.09 | Stop-loss | −3.6% |
| 7 Sept, 00:00 | 12XFEAR | $138,103.78 | 7 Sept, 12:00 | $140,458.04 | Exit rule | +1.5% |
| 24 Aug, 16:00 | 8XFEAR | $132,686.33 | 25 Aug, 04:00 | $128,420.63 | Stop-loss | −3.4% |
| 13 Aug, 08:00 | 32FEAR | $124,029.85 | 14 Aug, 08:00 | $130,208.81 | Exit rule | +4.8% |
| 6 Aug, 12:00 | 16XFEAR | $104,948.99 | 7 Aug, 00:00 | $107,621.50 | Exit rule | +2.3% |
| 3 Aug, 20:00 | 40NEUT | $108,931.91 | 4 Aug, 12:00 | $105,287.60 | Stop-loss | −3.5% |
| 31 Jul, 00:00 | 11XFEAR | $102,397.44 | 31 Jul, 04:00 | $104,412.51 | Exit rule | +1.8% |
| 25 Jul, 12:00 | 18XFEAR | $110,166.68 | 26 Jul, 16:00 | $106,837.32 | Stop-loss | −3.2% |
| 16 Jul, 12:00 | 34FEAR | $121,542.14 | 17 Jul, 00:00 | $123,537.67 | Exit rule | +1.4% |
| 11 Jul, 04:00 | 1XFEAR | $120,186.58 | 11 Jul, 08:00 | $113,805.42 | Stop-loss | −5.5% |
| 3 Jul, 20:00 | 51NEUT | $136,469.58 | 5 Jul, 08:00 | $134,736.99 | Exit rule | −1.5% |
| 30 Jun, 08:00 | 40NEUT | $120,490.88 | 30 Jun, 16:00 | $125,008.81 | Exit rule | +3.5% |
| 25 Jun, 12:00 | 14XFEAR | $110,427.45 | 25 Jun, 20:00 | $111,757.12 | Exit rule | +1.0% |
Catch the bounce as panic fades.
Fade capitulation candles with a tight leash.
Enters when large holders accumulate and the order book leans bid.
Instead of buying the knife, it waits for the score to climb back out of Extreme Fear with volume confirming the turn.